A new Emerson College and The Hill poll shows that Trump's lead over Harris in Texas has grown. He is now ahead by 7.1 points. At the same time, the race for Senate between Cruz and Allred has become more competitive, with only one point separating them.
With the election nearing, a recent poll conducted by Emerson College/The Hill indicates that former President Donald Trump is widening his advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris in Texas. A survey published on Wednesday reveals that 53% of likely voters in the state favor Trump, whereas 46% support Harris. Trump's lead over Harris has increased from 5.3 points on September 27 to 7.1 points on October 22.
The poll indicates that a significant number of Texans are optimistic about Trump’s prospects in the state. 56% anticipate his success, while 43% think Harris will come out on top. As Election Day approaches in less than two weeks, Trump’s position seems to be more robust than ever.
Although Trump's lead has increased, the Texas Senate race continues to be tightly contested. The poll indicates that Republican Senator Ted Cruz holds a slim lead of 48% compared to Democratic challenger Colin Allred's 47%. Since the last poll, Cruz’s support has experienced a slight decline, whereas Allred’s has gained momentum, indicating closer competition.
“Allred’s enhanced name recognition has contributed to closing the gap,” stated Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. He observed that the percentage of voters unfamiliar with Allred decreased from 18% in early September to only 10% in October.
Key factors shaping voter perspectives consist of immigration (32%), the economy (26%), and access to abortion (11%). Trump’s increasing support can be attributed to a change in independent voters, who now favor him by 2 points, along with heightened backing from male voters.
The survey, conducted with 815 likely voters from October 18 to October 21, carries a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
